No. 01 · Self bias
Probably Wrong
$499 MXNIVA included
Overconfidence effectn. · cognitive bias
The tendency to trust your own judgment more than its track record deserves.
Worn by — People who start sentences with "Actually."
Color — Graphite · as photographed
1
Ships in 1–2 business days · Free shipping in Mexico on 2+ caps
Our confidence in what we know tends to run ahead of what we actually know. It shows up in forecasts, estimates and arguments at dinner. The fix is boring: say "probably" more often. This cap says it for you.
